Thursday, October 14, 2010

Bob Chapman : The Gold Rally just started

BOB CHAPMAN-Dr Deagle Show 13 Oct 2010





Bob Chapman wrote on The international forecaster of 13th Oct 2010 : " What is the Fed doing with paper, Fed liquidity in question, the dollar will fall, no exit strategy for the crisis to come, worst areas still unregulated, forecasting strong gold and silver for the next four months, real inflation already a threat, IMF fails to deal with currency frictions.
The question keeps swirling around regarding the Fed and just how much Treasury paper they can buy from the market under current rules. Our guess is about $1.7 trillion. A good part of that may well be in notes, which will probably keep long dated rates low. On the other hand they may increase the current limit, and buy everything in sight. That probably means the 10-year T-note could fall from its current level of 2.50% yield to 1.5% yield and mortgages, as we stated before could fall to 3.38% on the 30-year fixed rate loan. This kind of spirited buying would tend to crowd out other buyers forcing them into corporates, foreign bonds, commodities and gold and silver, as well as back into the stock market. This kind of policy means major monetization, higher inflation and perhaps eventually into hyperinflation. Needless to say, this is a very dangerous game. A plunge into a monetary no man’s land. The liquidity that will be set loose in the POMO market will be enormous and the avalanche will begin early next year and it will cause asset price inflation. These antics will also suppress the value of the dollar forcing a test of 71.18 and perhaps breaking that long-term support level...."

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